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2024-12-13 05:37:10

Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.Schlegel, Governor of the Swiss National Bank: Since the last interest rate decision, the inflation rate has been lower than expected. The development of the Swiss franc is still an important factor.Schlegel, Governor of the Swiss National Bank: It aims to stabilize the inflation rate at 0-2%. We can tolerate inflation temporarily below the target range of 0-2%.


IEA Monthly Report: The decision of OPEC+has reduced the potential oversupply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said today that the recent decision of OPEC+member countries to postpone the planned production increase has "greatly reduced" the potential oversupply next year. Nevertheless, IEA said that in view of the persistent overproduction in some OPEC+member countries, strong supply growth outside the alliance and moderate global oil demand growth, there may still be a serious oversupply in the oil market in 2025. IEA predicts that even if all OPEC+production reduction plans remain unchanged, supply will exceed demand by about 950,000 barrels per day next year. IEA said that if OPEC members start increasing production in April as planned, the oversupply will increase to 1.4 million barrels per day.Xiamen Tungsten Xinneng: Signed a strategic cooperation framework agreement for solid-state batteries with Xinwangda Power. Xiamen Tungsten Xinneng announced that the company and Xinwangda Power signed the Strategic Cooperation Framework Agreement for Solid-state Batteries on December 11, 2024. The two sides will give full play to their respective advantages in market and technology, promote the industrialization of a series of new energy battery materials for solid-state batteries, establish a deep-seated strategic cooperative relationship, jointly develop a series of new energy battery materials for solid-state batteries, and further expand business cooperation at an appropriate time.Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine: We are ready to discuss the deployment of foreign troops in our own territory. On December 12, local time, the reporter of the General Desk learned that Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Stefani Hina said that Ukraine is ready to discuss the deployment of foreign troops in its own territory. It is reported that French President Macron and Polish Prime Minister Tusk plan to exchange views on the deployment of about 40,000 peacekeepers in Uzbekistan on the 12th. (CCTV News)


After the emergency martial law storm, South Korea's financial industry suffered successively. After the emergency martial law storm in South Korea, South Korea's financial industry suffered successively, and the stock market fluctuated obviously. This week, it began to rebound slightly. South Korean media pointed out that the uncertainty of South Korea's political situation may put its international reputation under downward pressure. South Korea's Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Planning and Finance, Choe Sang-mu, held an "emergency macroeconomic and financial symposium" on the 10th to discuss the dynamics of the financial and foreign exchange markets and the countermeasures. According to South Korea's Chosun Ilbo reported on the 9th, after the emergency martial law storm, the total market value of South Korea's stock market evaporated by 58 trillion won within three days, and more than 400 billion US dollars of foreign exchange reserves were also threatened. As the political struggle of "impeaching the president" continues, not only finance, but also retail, alcohol, real estate, semiconductor export and other aspects of the Korean economy have also felt the chill. South Korean media believe that if financial instability and the stagnation of the real economy, the economy may fall into crisis sharply. According to the "Foreign Securities Investment Trends in November" released by the Korea Financial Supervisory Authority on the 10th, foreign investors sold 4.154 trillion won in the Korean securities market last month and sold Korean shares for four consecutive months. South Korea's "Asia Daily" said on the 10th that as South Korea re-entered the presidential impeachment time, the uncertainty intensified, and it is expected that the net selling behavior of foreign investors will continue. Although South Korea's stock market rebounded on the 10th, the uncertainty of the political situation put its international reputation under downward pressure. South Korea's Chosun Ilbo published a commentary on the 10th, saying that Fitch and Moody's, among the world's three major credit rating agencies, have successively warned that if the storm after martial law is prolonged, South Korea's national credit rating may be negatively affected. (CCTV)EU finalizes new sanctions against Russia: strike against the "shadow fleet". According to a report on the website of German newspaper Sü ddeutsche Zeitung on December 11th, EU countries have reached an agreement on a new package of sanctions against Russia. Several diplomats told DPA that the new sanctions were aimed at strengthening the crackdown on the so-called "Russian shadow fleet" transporting oil and petroleum products. It is reported that more than 50 ships will be banned from entering EU ports. In addition, they can no longer get the services of EU enterprises. In June this year, the EU has taken preliminary measures to blacklist more than 20 Russian ships. It is reported that this is the 15th package of sanctions against Russia drawn up by the EU so far. The plan also stipulates that trade with more than 30 other business entities should be restricted, and the EU has determined that they should keep in touch with the Russian defense and security departments. In addition, the EU also plans to impose an entry ban and asset freeze on some individuals. According to the report, senior EU officials are pleased that member States have reached a consensus on this. Kaya Karas, the EU's High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, said: "This will further weaken (Russian President) Putin's war machine." Roberta Metsola, Speaker of the European Parliament, said: "This sends another strong signal: our support for Ukraine will not weaken." The sanctions plan will be officially confirmed at the meeting of foreign ministers of member States in Brussels on the 16th, and then will be published in the official gazette of the European Union and come into effect. (Reference message)London Metal Exchange (LME): aluminum stocks decreased by 2,500 tons, copper stocks decreased by 75 tons, nickel stocks decreased by 2,862 tons, lead stocks decreased by 2,250 tons, tin stocks were flat, and zinc stocks decreased by 1,300 tons.

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